Advanced and Concise Technical Analysis of Cryptos - Reversal SetupsteemCreated with Sketch.

in steemit •  2 months ago

For the purposes of this analysis, I will be using Ethereum. I imagine most reading will be familiar with TradingView but I will also be using a professional suite of trading software called Optuma.

One of the great factors in Gann's Analysis - and the thing that diverges most from many other forms of technical analysis - is Gann's focus on time being the factor for trends and price action. Everything is a slave to it. The news and human behavior is not random nor does it create the conditions for changes in trends.

Time is the reason.

Square of 9 - Time and Price Squared

We are a little over a week away to the date of June 22nd, which is an important date and angle in Gann's Square of 9. This is a normal date range to find reversals in trends. June 22nd, (summer) 93 days from March 21st, equal to 90 degrees, opposite of Dec 23rd.

Gann Square of 90

There are a few things to take away from this chart, first, what you are looking at is a more advanced and 'oldschool' form of technical analysis. The geometry you see on the screen is called a Gann Square of 90. The tool is often called a Gann Box, but a Gann Box can be used to construct a number of Gann's square variants (Square of 144, Square of 12, Square of 24, etc).

Shared Fibonacci values

Price action has formed a base at two Fibonacci zones which are the same but from different swings. The shared Fibonacci ratio is the 0.786 level. The first is from the most recent swing from the dates of April 1st, 2017 to May 5th, 2018. The next Fibonacci ratio comes from the beginning of Ethereums breakout back on September 14th, 2017 to the all time high on January 13th, 2018.

The Number 144

This is probably the most important item here. The number 144 is one of the most important in Gann's work. The number 9 is also important, probably the most important number in Gann's work. 1+4+4 = 9. Divisions and multiples of 144 equate to various price levels that are stopping points for trends. 144 x 3 = 432, which was (depending on data feed) near the lows of the day before buying stopped further downside pressure.
We are also within the 9 day period of the 144-day cycle. The 144-day cycle terminates trends.
Consider that the all time high was around January 20th and 144 days from that date is near June 22nd.

Gann Planetary Line of Mars

For those unfamiliar with Gann's style of analysis, then the operation and function of the longitudinal position of planets will seem even more foreign to you than the angles and squares. A quick explanation here is that Gann plotted the longitude coordinates of all the planets onto his charts and found that they were natural support and resistance for price. They were static. Fixed. Not subjective.
And, for whatever reason, some charts were more sensitive to some planets angles. For almost every cryptocurrency I've analyzed (about 132), they all find sensitivity to the planetary angle of Mars and it's harmonics (the divisions between the synodic cycle/angle). Price found support at an inner harmonic of Mars. The Green and Red 'wavy' lines represent the longitudinal position of Mars as viewed from here on Earth (geocentric).

Gann Planetary Lines Fan

Gann never did fan of planetary lines, but we can convert the same formula he used for planetary lines and paint them onto a chart with the Gann Fan tool. From the most recent major swing, we plot out the planet Mercury - Mercury is a fast moving planet and the degrees of its fan create excellent short-term support and resistance areas.
Price stopped at the top of the '45-degree' line of Mercury.

Multiple Time Frame Oversold Conditions

Another strong indication of an impending reversal and bottom found is the oversold conditions on the daily, monthly and weekly charts. The indicators here are the Composite Index (above) and the Stochastic RSI (below).



Simple Pattern Forming

The simple pattern of an inverse Head And Shoulders pattern is being formed. There is also a normal Head And Shoulders pattern forming on the ETHUSDShorts chart from Bitfinex - indicating shorts are abandoning their positions to cover.
Inverse Head and Shoulders

Head and Shoulders of ETHUSDShorts


Using VPA (Volume Price Analysis) and VAP (Volume At Price) we can see a confluence zone formed here. On the VAP profile, there is a very nice and supportive high volume node that price is currenty sitting at. Additionally, price is trading within the highest 35% of volume traded. The volume itself is heavy and supports the bullish hammer candlestick that was formed on the daily.

Gartley Harmonics

Without going into a lot of detail, Gartley patterns are either dynamic in their set value zones relative to their required Fibonacci levels or they are very static. An entire series could be written regarding Gartley's harmonic patterns, but very quickly, we need to only know what Gartley has formed on this chart: Alternate Bullish Bat Pattern. This signals a reversal in price action.

Venus enters Leo

The common behavior of currencies, commodities and money when this Venus enters Leo is one of excess. Valuations are driven and pumped up higher with unstoppable momentum. Dramatic and demanding is the behavior of price action in this time cycle.

Mercury exits Cancer

Historical price action of Mercury in Cancer is not a good one. There seems to be a culmination of negative and consistent information that not only drives prices to their climax, but makes the participants withdrawn and void of any hope. Any little piece of negative information takes even greater action to vault through the psychological resistance price zones. However, upon the exit of this cycle, participants can very quickly recover.

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Congratulations @captainquenta!
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Great dude...I should read it all again...overloaded with analysis...thank you..@captainquenta


Yea, I threw a lot in there! Thanks for the comment and compliment!

I've never seen technical analysis like this. Very interesting @captainquenta.

Very Interesting T.A., congrats

Interesting article. I subscribed to you. Subscribe to me. Let's be friends


Thank you for your comment! Glad you enjoyed the article!


It's definitely not a style that is well-known;but is much older and more accurate than a lot of the contemporary TA that is available to new traders.